Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 37.231362 42.764471 48.735770 55.646286 63.410261 71.850231 81.705799
2024-12-15 28.222964 36.046950 45.284259 56.931182 71.154712 87.885879 108.976205
2024-12-22 20.959287 29.236481 39.756414 53.967308 72.501624 95.675535 126.636612
2024-12-29 17.762974 26.633268 38.601271 55.682593 79.141315 109.890584 152.838481
2025-01-05 15.798676 25.213912 38.584618 58.576737 87.242617 126.310012 182.891190
2025-01-12 13.134696 22.285394 35.943897 57.300048 89.201873 134.301119 201.862734
2025-01-19 10.729366 19.321919 32.779045 54.737733 88.832907 138.711837 215.811413
2025-01-26 10.044513 18.983073 33.533936 58.097865 97.419068 156.504125 250.081875
2025-02-02 9.759942 19.254930 35.249289 63.066750 108.793467 179.111732 292.831304
2025-02-09 8.767249 18.126836 34.488896 63.872978 113.562919 191.873942 321.340736
2025-02-16 7.770738 16.835890 33.276623 63.747089 116.717524 202.206358 346.570877
2025-02-23 6.836643 15.517720 31.844402 63.052600 118.783305 210.816635 369.435174
2025-03-02 6.095764 14.521590 30.973673 63.431568 122.998082 223.672643 400.773427
2025-03-09 5.454299 13.641488 30.238055 64.023113 127.712709 237.822141 435.414202
2025-03-16 4.484664 11.875836 27.527293 60.561945 124.781624 238.705259 447.796381
2025-03-23 4.149762 11.487285 27.556630 62.423600 131.804173 257.295423 491.536268
2025-03-30 3.960141 11.409821 28.224221 65.616459 141.572703 281.325003 546.071884
2025-04-06 3.432779 10.402745 26.740617 64.202959 142.267830 288.950165 571.904014
2025-04-13 2.882273 9.223762 24.702608 61.368176 139.854652 290.611450 586.967536
2025-04-20 2.811004 9.320769 25.632022 65.084745 150.999197 318.346786 651.268591
2025-04-27 2.841196 9.707102 27.292903 70.576336 166.186382 354.587296 733.105459
2025-05-04 2.608573 9.293927 26.949529 71.466898 171.754988 372.540196 781.420873
2025-05-11 2.348627 8.747540 26.199545 71.327848 175.089812 386.272488 822.348097